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[CF-metadata] standards for probabilities

From: Vegard Bønes <vegard.bones>
Date: Wed, 16 Nov 2011 12:23:23 +0000 (UTC)

Thank you!

I will take a little time to work on the input I have recieved, and post back what I have done, possibly along with a suggestion for some new standard names.

VG


----- Original Message -----
Fra: "Evan Manning" <Evan.M.Manning at jpl.nasa.gov>
Til: cf-metadata at cgd.ucar.edu
Sendt: 15. november 2011 15:35:10
Emne: Re: [CF-metadata] standards for probabilities

Most of the discussion so far has centered on (1). But this raises
some other issues:

> 2) probability that air temperature will be within 2.5 degrees of the forecast

This is clearly trying to get at something akin to what we do with the
"standard_error" standard name modifier and the "standard_error_multiplier"
ancillary variable. The differences are that the units are flipped and
the assumption of a normal distribution is removed.

Can we use something analogous? Maybe a new standard name modifier
like "distribution" or "probability" or "confidence" which requires an ancillary
variable?

The best fit for this particular case is "confidence" with an ancillary variable
"confidence_interval" with value 2.5.

But something more like "distribution" is more general and could be stretched to
handle

> 1) "25th percentile precipitation amount" (based on ensemble data)

Here we might use the "distribution" (or "cumulative_distribution"?)
standard name
modifier, ancillary variable "cumulative_probability", value 0.25.

  -- Evan
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Received on Wed Nov 16 2011 - 05:23:23 GMT

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